3DownNation CFL picks: Ticats control home playoff game fate

Photo courtesy: Bob Butrym

Week 16 of the CFL season has arrived and with a full slate of games, two of which could still impact the playoffs as the regular season draws to a close.

This week will mark the final time we see B.C., Edmonton, and Ottawa on the field as all three clubs failed to qualify for the postseason. Saskatchewan is playing a bunch of backups against Hamilton, though it appears Winnipeg may keep a number of starters in the lineup after resting them in a loss to Montreal.

All eyes will be on the Als on Friday followed by the Ticats on Saturday as the results from their games will determine the location for the East Semi-Final.

Without further ado, here are the picks.

Friday, Nov. 19 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Ottawa Redblacks (2-11) at Montreal Alouettes (7-6)
Betting line: Als -13

The Redblacks are going back to Caleb Evans to close out their season after a poor outing from Devlin ‘Duck’ Hodges. Montreal has everything to play for in this one as they’ll look to sweep the season series against Ottawa in order to move into sole possession of second place in the East Division ahead of Hamilton’s final regular season game on Saturday.

DUNK: Trevor Harris carves up Ottawa. ALS

HODGE: Montreal finishes the season sweep. ALS

ABBOTT: This is unlikely to be competitive. ALS

BALLANTINE: Montreal have everything to play for, and Ottawa sucks. ALS

FILOSO: Montreal has so much more to lose. ALS

GASSON: Montreal wants to put the pressure on Hamilton. ALS

HUDSON: Montreal playing for something. ALS

LUDWIG: I’ve only been wrong picking against Ottawa twice. We don’t talk about those two. ALS

MCGUIRE: Montreal has something to play for and Trevor Harris is eager to remind Ottawa fans Marcel Desjardins was wrong not to pay him. ALS

SMITH: Montreal needs this to keep home playoff hopes alive. ALS

ALS 10

Friday, Nov. 19 at 10:30 p.m. ET
Edmonton Elks (3-10) at B.C. Lions (4-9)
Betting line: Lions -6.5

The Elks are playing their third game in seven days, which seems ludicrous. The club has kept its depth chart virtually unchanged since Tuesday win over Toronto, so don’t expect to see Nick Arbuckle under centre. Meanwhile, B.C. has elected to sit Michael Reilly in favour of Canadian rookie quarterback Nathan Rourke, who will be making his second career start.

DUNK: Nathan Rourke gets it done! LIONS

HODGE: A third game in seven days? Yeah, nobody’s winning that. LIONS

ABBOTT: Rourke > Cornelius. It’s that simple. LIONS

BALLANTINE: As in nature the Elks will be devoured. LIoNS

FILOSO: Canadian QB win alert! LIONS

GASSON: Someone has to win. LIONS

HUDSON: Edmonton half way on the plane since earlier this week. LIONS

LUDWIG: Edmonton looked pretty terrible against Toronto’s backups. B.C. isn’t good, but aside from Rourke they are fielding their usual team. LIONS

MCGUIRE: Winning road record could save Edmonton coaches and players jobs. Not so for Leos. ELKS

SMITH: Elks got their win on Tuesday. LIONS


Saturday, Nov. 20 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Saskatchewan Roughriders (9-4) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-6)
Betting line: Ticats -6.5

The Riders will be resting a number of starters including quarterback Cody Fajardo as they’ve already clinched second place in the West Division. Hamilton, meanwhile, should be plenty motivated to win this one as a win over Saskatchewan would guarantee second place in the East Division, allowing them to host next weekend’s East Semi-Final.

DUNK: Tabbies clinch a home playoff game. TICATS

HODGE: The Riders are bringing the B-squad. TICATS

ABBOTT: Eat ’em raw includes backups. TICATS

BALLANTINE: Hamilton needs to win to clinch the home game, Riders trying to stay healthy. TICATS

FILOSO: Saskatchewan has nothing on the line. TICATS

GASSON: A long trip with nothing to play for. TICATS

HUDSON: Hamilton wants home field playoff double tap with Grey Cup. TICATS

LUDWIG: Big game for Hamilton, not so much for Saskatchewan. TICATS

MCGUIRE: If Montreal wins, Tabbies will have something to play for. Saskatchewan won’t. TICATS 

SMITH: Riders have nothing to play for. TICATS


Friday, Nov. 20 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders
Betting line: Bombers -4

This game will not affect the West Division standings, but that doesn’t mean it’s meaningless. Bo Levi Mitchell said his club want to cast some doubt in the minds of Winnipeg’s players, though Brandon Alexander said he doesn’t care about that. Both teams want to win this game, which could be key given there’s a chance they’ll meet in the West Final.

DUNK: Calgary wants to keep momentum going. STAMPS

HODGE: Calgary casts some doubt in Winnipeg’s minds. STAMPS

ABBOTT: Logic says Stamps, but Winnipeg did not take kindly to losing. BOMBERS

BALLANTINE: Bland vanilla game from both teams. STAMPS

FILOSO: Battle of the backups makes this game a coin flip. BOMBERS

GASSON: Winnipeg gets back on track. BOMBERS

HUDSON: Calgary has no bye so they will use this game as one, Winnipeg wants a groove before their bye. BOMBERS

LUDWIG: Collaros probably shouldn’t play, though that would mean Calgary has a good chance. BOMBERS

MCGUIRE: Winnipeg will play hard to stay crisp before bye week. Calgary will treat this like their bye week. BOMBERS

SMITH: CFL season ends with a whimper, as should be the case. BOMBERS


Records to date

Gasson 38-20
Dunk 37-21
McGuire 36-22
Hudson 35-23
Hodge 34-24
Ludwig 33-25
Ballantine 32-26
Smith 31-27
Abbott 28-30
Filoso 28-30