CFL Week 19 predictions | Look for motivated Als, Argos to cover

Week 19 CFL picks

We’re coming down the home stretch of the CFL regular season and below are our Week 19 CFL picks for every game on the slate.

Week 19 CFL betting picks

We have a couple of larger favorites this week, along with a rare pick ‘em scenario due to expected personnel absences. Below are our picks for this week’s games.

Friday, October 14: Montreal Alouettes at Ottawa Redblacks – 7:00 p.m. EDT

The Redblacks surprised the Alouettes with a 24-18 road upset in Week 18, a game in which Ottawa featured a balanced attack despite the absence of Devonte Williams (head) and an in-game injury to William Powell (upper body).

Jackson Bennett took over the backfield and finished with 66 total yards. It remains to be seen if Williams can return for Friday’s game, but Powell has already been ruled out.

The same applies to receiver Jaelon Acklin, who’ll sit with head and shoulder injuries. Acklin owns a career-best 75-1,169-2 line for the season, so his absence will be felt.

Montreal needs a win in order to clinch its playoff spot and home postseason game but will be without key possession receiver Reggie White (knee), who boasts a 53-722-2 tally this season.

However, the Als did get star running back William Stanback in Monday’s loss following his Week 1 ankle injury.

Stanback should see a bump in workload this week while facing an Ottawa defence that’s yielded 101.4 rushing yards per game at 5.0 yards per carry.

Trevor Harris has pair of 300-yard efforts in three prior encounters with the Redblacks this season, and even without White, he’ll have plenty of ammunition in the form of Eugene Lewis and Jake Wieneke, among others.

With the stakes at play for the Als, I like for them to emerge victorious in this spot by better than a field goal.

The Pick: Alouettes -3.5 or less (-110 or better)

Friday, October 14: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Calgary Stampeders – 9:45 p.m. EDT

The Ti-Cats have been a completely different team on the road, going 0-7 away from their home turf of Tim Hortons Field.

Hamilton played the Stamps very tough way back in Week 2, losing 33-30 in overtime.

But both teams are at different points in their respective seasons and Calgary enters this game refreshed from its Week 18 bye.

The Ti-Cats have seen Wes Hills develop into a much-needed lead back over the last three games, topping out in Week 18 with 25 carries for 132 yards against the Roughriders.

The Stampeders only give up a modest 92.9 rushing yards per game, however. In contrast, Calgary has yielded 284.4 passing yards per contest, a league high.

On the other side, Ka’Deem Carey will have an even tougher challenge, as Hamilton has allowed a CFL-low 77.5 rushing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry.

Yet, Jake Maier should have a good chance to bounce back from an atypically poor Week 17 outing – the Ti-Cats have conceded 275.1 passing yards per contest.

Each team could have some trouble establishing the run despite their very talented backs, which could help keep scoring down.

With Hamilton’s Dane Evans also prone to short-circuiting drives (15 INTs) and speedy playmaker Malik Henry (ankle) out for Calgary, I’m in the camp of the Under.

The Pick: Under 48.5 or higher (-110 or better)

Saturday, October 15: Toronto Argonauts at Edmonton Elks– 7:00 p.m. EDT

The Argos atoned for an atrocious 27-point loss in Week 17 by upending the Lions, 23-20, in Week 18.

Toronto accomplished the feat despite missing key veteran DaVaris Daniels (hip), who downgraded to a limited practice Wednesday after practicing in full Tuesday.

Toronto could also be without Brandon Banks (personal) after the veteran missed the first two practices of Week 19 prep.

That said, he Argos face an Elks team allowing a CFL-high 33.8 points per game and 6.9 yards per play, along with the second-most net offence yards per contest (359.5).

Edmonton continues to have its moments on offence each week, with most of them attributable to Taylor Cornelius and Dillon Mitchell. The pair has formed quite the QB-WR battery, but the Elks still undeniably miss Kenny Lawler, who’s out the rest of the season following shoulder surgery.

Kevin Brown has also been a pleasant surprise at running back, yet he gets a second straight tough assignment this week against a Toronto defence that’s surrendered only 95.3 rushing yards per game.

The Argos need to continue building momentum ahead of the postseason and have yet to clinch the East. This is a spot where I expect them to eventually pull away against a team they can hit with a balanced attack and that simply doesn’t play well at home.

The Pick: Argonauts -5.5 or less (-110 or better)

Saturday, October 15: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions – 10:00 p.m. EDT

This will not be a typical Blue Bombers game for a number of reasons.

Winnipeg has wrapped up the division and homefield advantage for the postseason. Consequently, the Bombers will be resting Zach Collaros, at minimum, for this game. Dru Brown, who’s put up just seven pass attempts this season, will draw the start under center.

The Lions will be fielding a relatively healthy squad, as they’re still battling for seeding. B.C. did itself no favors with a 23-20 loss in Week 18 to the Argonauts.

Oddsmakers are clearly looking at this game as a bit of a conundrum, as the line sits at a Pick ‘Em. With Brown starting and some other Bombers players potentially also sitting, we won’t overthink things and simply will go with the more motivated squad.

The Pick: Lions moneyline (-115 or better)