3DownNation CFL picks: will bad blood between Lions and Stamps boil over in rematch?

Photo courtesy: Paul Yates/B.C. Lions

Week 16 of the CFL season is officially upon us and we’re not sure who to believe anymore.

Last week was a terrible one for our prognosticators as they went a combined 1-29 straight-up and 3-27 against the spread amid three surprising upsets. The potential for chaos is even greater this week, with all three games featuring spreads set at less than a field goal entering the weekend.

As a result, our leaderboard remains largely unchanged. Brendan McGuire still sits atop the straight-up standings with a two-game edge, while Santino Filoso is ahead of the field against the spread.

Friday, September 23: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes – 7:30 p.m. EDT

Second place in the East Division is up for grabs in this one, as the Tiger-Cats and resurgent quarterback Dane Evans sail into this game having just demolished the league-leading Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Of course, the Alouettes are the only other team to vanquish the Bombers this season and should pose a real challenge. Expect lots of offence in this one as both sides will be out a defensive star — Dylan Wynn for Hamilton and Marc-Antoine Dequoy for Montreal.

DUNK: Montreal has always been a tough place for the Ticats to win. 

Straight-up: ALS. Against the spread: ALS.

HODGE: Can Dane Evans duplicate last week’s performance? If so…

Straight-up: TICATS. Against the spread: TICATS.

ABBOTT: Nothing beats the emotional high of being a king-slayer. The emotional letdown that follows can be just as potent.

Straight-up: ALS. Against the spread: ALS.

BALLANTINE: I think Montreal is the better team, but I also love it when the standings get a little tighter. 

Straight-up: TICATS. Against the spread: TICATS.

FILOSO: The Ticats captured magic last week but it runs out against a stout Montreal squad.

Straight-up: ALS. Against the spread: ALS.

GASSON: Montreal is getting it going. 

Straight-up: ALS. Against the spread: ALS.

HUDSON: Hamilton played their best game of the year last week, but do I trust them? No.

Straight-up: ALS. Against the spread: ALS.

LUDWIG: There’s a four-way East tie in play, and it starts with Hamilton winning this week. #TeamChaos

Straight-up: TICATS. Against the spread: TICATS.

MCGUIRE: Dane Evans has sworn off social media and looks like a new man. Cody Fajardo should consider doing the same.

Straight-up: TICATS. Against the spread: TICATS.

SMITH: The stretch run is more interesting if Hamilton wins.

Straight-up: TICATS. Against the spread: TICATS.

TOTALS STRAIGHT-UP: Ticats 5, Als 5

TOTALS AGAINST THE SPREAD: Ticats 5, Als 5

Saturday, September 24: Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa Redblacks – 7:00 p.m. EDT

The Argos have a chance to clinch a playoff berth this week if Hamilton loses and they can earn a victory, but that could be easier said than done against a Redblacks team that has shown promise with Nick Arbuckle under centre. With the season series currently tied at one apiece, a win would be huge for Ottawa’s somehow still existent playoff hopes, but they’ll need more offence than they showed in a 24-19 loss two weeks ago.

DUNK: In Nick Arbuckle I trust. 

Straight-up: REDBLACKS. Against the spread: REDBLACKS.

HODGE: It’s just about time for Ottawa to pack it in.

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

ABBOTT: I haven’t believed in the Argos all year. Maybe now is the time to start?

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

BALLANTINE: I love the standings getting tighter but there is a limit as to how far I will stretch that logic. 

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

FILOSO: Ottawa is playing at home. Need I say more?

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: REDBLACKS.

GASSON: Toronto tightens its grip on the East. 

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

HUDSON: Ottawa’s late push means Argos will see this as a threat for playoff positioning and prepare well.

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

LUDWIG: The four-way tie also requires Toronto to lose out. Consider this an ‘emotional hedge.’

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

MCGUIRE: I’ve given up trying to figure the Redblacks out so I’m going to throw up a hail mary and suggest LaPolice is due to outcoach Dinwiddie.

Straight-up: REDBLACKS. Against the spread: REDBLACKS.

SMITH: Toronto is just the better team and the East Final will once again be played at BMO Field.

Straight-up: ARGOS. Against the spread: ARGOS.

TOTALS STRAIGHT-UP: Argos 8, Redblacks 2

TOTALS AGAINST THE SPREAD: Argos 7, Redblacks 3

Saturday, September 24: Calgary Stampeders at B.C. Lions– 10:00 p.m. EDT

It took overtime for the Lions to secure a two-point win over the Stampeders last week but the biggest story took place after the final whistle when Calgary’s Cam Judge sucker-punched B.C.’s Lucky Whitehead for allegedly disparaging remarks made about his family. The result was a heated altercation in the parking lot and a one-game suspension for Judge, adding some extra flavour to the Lions’ shot at a series sweep.

DUNK: The Stamps exact revenge after an overtime home loss.

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

HODGE: B.C. impressed last week but I don’t see them sweeping Calgary for the year.

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

ABBOTT: It’s nearly impossible to sweep a season series – especially one where you’ve won the first two games by a combined three points.

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

BALLANTINE: Both teams will be fired up. Stamps win another penalty-filled affair. 

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

FILOSO: Last possession wins. Give me the home team in a coin flip.

Straight-up: LIONS. Against the spread: LIONS.

GASSON: Calgary finally gets a win against a team above them in the standings. 

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

HUDSON: I picked last week based on our rankings edge to Calgary and home-field advantage. I’ll follow the same logic this week.

Straight-up: LIONS. Against the spread: LIONS.

LUDWIG: Clearly these two are very well-matched. B.C. winning is probably the more interesting path for the West.

Straight-up: LIONS. Against the spread: LIONS.

MCGUIRE: It won’t be as juicy as the fight in the parking lot but this is still the game of the week. The Stamps are angry over the loss but so is BC over the sucker punch and they have dome-field advantage.

Straight-up: LIONS. Against the spread: LIONS.

SMITH: Calgary burned me last week but I’m not ready to get off that narcotic just yet.

Straight-up: STAMPS. Against the spread: STAMPS.

TOTALS STRAIGHT-UP: Stamps 6, Lions 4

TOTALS AGAINST THE SPREAD: Stamps 6, Lions 4

Records to date (straight-up)

MCGUIRE — 38-20
DUNK — 36-22
FILOSO — 36-22
LUDWIG — 36-22
BALLANTINE — 36-22
GASSON — 34-24
SMITH — 34-24
ABBOTT — 33-25
HUDSON — 33-25
HODGE — 32-26

Records to date (against the spread)

FILOSO — 33-25
BALLANTINE — 32-26
GASSON — 31-27
SMITH — 30-28
ABBOTT — 29-29
LUDWIG — 29-29
DUNK — 27-31
HODGE — 27-31
MCGUIRE — 25-33
HUDSON — 24-34