CFL Week 15 predictions | Expect Bombers to win big on the road?

Week 15 CFL picks

Week 15 of the Canadian Football League season has arrived and despite the three-game slate, there is still no shortage of betting markets to choose from.

Week 15 CFL betting odds

The Week 15 slate will see the Edmonton Eskimos try to avoid official elimination from the playoff picture when they visit the Roughriders, while the Blue Bombers and Stampeders will be on a quest to continue proving they’re the class of the league, the latter in an intriguing showdown with the visiting Lions.

Below, we make Week 15 CFL picks for each one of the three key contests as the march toward the postseason continues.

Friday, September 16: Edmonton Elks at Saskatchewan Roughriders – 9:30 p.m. EDT

The Elks were walloped by 28 points courtesy of the Stampeders in Week 14 but they’re facing the other team to give up 50+ points in that slate, the Roughriders.

Edmonton’s massive loss to Calgary was somewhat of an outlier in that the Elks had been playing competitively coming in. They’d lost by just eight to the Stamps the game prior and by seven and 11 points in two of the three contests prior to that as well.

The two games between these teams this season ended in Roughriders wins of 10 and 11 points, underscoring Edmonton’s ability to hang with Saskatchewan.

The Elks have all three of their wins on the road this season and have seen Taylor Cornelius develop into a legitimate, productive starting quarterback. Even with top target Kenny Lawler (ankle) out the last two games, Cornelius has thrown for 549 yards with a 4:1 TD:INT.

The Roughriders are vulnerable through the air (278.9 passing yards per game, 20 passing TDs allowed), and Cornelius has established quick chemistry with Dillon Mitchell, an impressive fill-in for Lawler thus far.

This is a fairly elevated number, and the Riders are likely to still be without Duke Williams (ankle). Even more important, Cody Fajardo, who became a father this week, is listed as questionable.

It’s arguably the most borderline pick of the three, but I’ll back the Elks to keep it close enough to slide under the 7.5, which they’re actually modest favorites to do.

Pick: Elks +7.5 or higher (-120 or better)

Saturday, September 17: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats – 4:30 p.m. EDT

The Blue Bombers’ 54-20 dismantling of the Roughriders in Week 14 seems to be one of those put-the-rest-of-the-league-on-notice games.

Winnipeg is now 12-1 and enjoys a +123-point differential, along with an unblemished 7-0 road mark.

The Bombers prevailed over the Ti-Cats home back in Week 3 by a 26-12 margin. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros threw for 302 yards in that game, and Hamilton is actually more giving through the air at this point in the season (273.4 PYPG, CFL-high 22 completions of 30+ yards allowed).

With Matthew Shiltz, who’d been providing very promising play, on the injured list with a wrist issue, it appears the Ti-Cats are set to return to Dane Evans (shoulder) under center.

Hamilton afforded Jamie Newman a spot start in Week 13, but he was eventually benched for Jalen Morton in a loss to Toronto.

Evans has been turnover-prone all season, including against the Bombers, which forced him into a pair of Week 3 picks.

The Bombers are locked in and are 8-5 against the spread this season, including 6-1 on the road. It’s the biggest number of the week, but the biggest mismatch as well. I’m backing another Bombers road cover.

Pick: Blue Bombers -8 or less (+100 or better)

Saturday, September 17: B.C. Lions at Calgary Stampeders – 7:00 p.m. EDT

Vernon Adams’ time has quickly arrived in B.C. following his trade from the Alouettes. After a three-pass-attempt cameo in Week 14, the Lions will waste no time affording him a start as they try to avoid any further derailing following the foot injury to Nathan Rourke.

Adams is certainly a capable veteran that’s able to make plays through both the ground and air. He won’t lack weapons whatsoever, as the Lions’ deep and highly capable pass-catching corps is healthy.

That bodes well against a Stampeders defence that has been helpless against the pass all season. Calgary is allowing a CFL-high 296.2 passing yards per game and the most completions (301) in the league as well.

On the other side, quarterback Jake Maier has given the Stamps’ air attack stability and a boost in production after his ascension to the starting job. The second-year signal-caller has produced a 6:1 TD:INT while throwing for 819 yards in his first three starts.

The Lions’ defence should be a stiff challenge, but Calgary has what may be the CFL’s most well-balanced offence. RB Ka’Deem Carey has been stellar once again this season through both the ground (712 yards, seven TDs at 6.8 yards per carry) and the air (9.6).

The Over is a combined 14-9 in these teams’ games this season, and the one prior encounter finished with 81 combined points.

While it was Rourke and the demoted Bo Levi Mitchell at quarterback in those contests, Adams and Maier are fine stand-ins that could help some points pile up again.

Pick: Over 53 points or less (-110 or better)