CFL Week 14 predictions | Expect pair of underdogs to cover big numbers

We are officially entering Week 14 of the Canadian Football League season and for each of the four games, there are plenty of markets to choose from at regulated Ontario sportsbooks. Below, we make Week 14 CFL picks for each one of them.

Week 14 CFL betting odds

The Week 14 slate will feature a pair of Week 13 rematches and a Lions-Alouettes battle that sees Montreal try to exploit a BC team that looks less fearsome without Nathan Rourke (foot).

Friday, September 9: B.C. Lions at Montreal Alouettes – 7:30 p.m. EDT

The Lions will roll out Antonio Pipkin, who finished the Week 12 loss to the Roughriders for Michael O’Connor (adductor), as the starter in this game.

Newly acquired Vernon Adams will serve as the backup against his former Alouettes squad and could well take over the starting job in coming weeks.

Pipkin was serviceable against Saskatchewan while amassing 138 total yards, and he’ll bring a strong rushing dimension to the table.

The Als have been much more vulnerable on the ground (110.1 RYPG, CFL-high 5.3 yards per carry allowed) than through the air, so both Pipkin and RB James Butler, the latter who’s found tough sledding on the ground of late, could help keep the chains moving.

Montreal’s Trevor Harris and the rest of the offence face a tough assignment against the Lions defence. BC ranks No. 3 in rushing yards per game allowed (84.0) and No. 1 versus the pass (234.7 PYPG allowed), while also yielding a league-low 64.8 percent completion rate.

Pipkin had some trouble with interceptions in his one extended stint under center back in 2018 with the Als (eight INTs in 12 games). The veteran could naturally have some chemistry challenges as he acclimates to the team’s pass-catching corps.

Coupling some potential struggles on his end with the Als having a difficult matchup on paper, the Under on an elevated total of 53.5 points is feasible to consider here.

The Pick: Under 53.5 points or higher (-115 or better)

Saturday, September 10: Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa Redblacks – 2:00 p.m. EDT

The Argos were able to pull away against the Tiger-Cats in Week 13 despite some struggles. QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson continued to thrive with just under 300 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

The veteran signal-caller could be primed to exploit the Redblacks defence for the second time this season after torching them for 340 yards and a touchdown back in a Week 8 loss.

Ottawa is allowing 273.4 passing yards per game, along with the second-highest average yards per pass (9.2) and 18 completions of at least 30 yards.

A.J. Oulette has also proven quite the two-way threat for the Argos in the absence of Andrew Harris (pectoral), racking up 116 total yards (46 rushing, 70 receiving) against Hamilton in Week 13.

The Redblacks have also gotten some steady quarterback play from Nick Arbuckle over the last two contests.

The Georgia State alum has developed very good rapport with Jaelon Acklin and other pass catchers while going 41-for-63 for 532 yards with one touchdown and no INTs in his first pair of starts.

Toronto has done a good job limiting big plays through the air, but the Argos still allow the second-highest completion rate (69.5 percent) in the league.

Ottawa should also be able to keep Toronto’s defence honest with RB Devonte Williams, who is emerging as a versatile threat in the absence of William Powell (knee). The SE Louisiana product has a combined 27-130 line on the ground and 5-37 tally through the air the last two games.

There’s talent on both offences and enough deficiencies on each defence to envision the Over on a modest total hitting in this spot, making that my play.

The Pick: Over 47.5 points or less (-120 or better)

Saturday, September 10: Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers – 6:00 p.m. EDT

The Roughriders-Blue Bombers nip-and-tuck Week 13 battle saw both defences take over the game in the second half, when only four total points were scored.

That’s a highly unlikely scenario in any pro football league, much less the fast-paced CFL. It’s even more surprising when considering Saskatchewan was healthier than it had been in weeks on offence with the return of Shaq Evans to the field.

Evans put together a team-high 5-88 line with several noteworthy catches, and his return was preceded by that of Kyran Moore’s a week earlier.

There’s now a chance Duke Williams (ankle) joins his pair of teammates following a two-game absence after getting in a limited practice Wednesday.

Frankie Hickson has also proven to be an excellent replacement for Jamal Morrow (hand) in the backfield. After gashing the Bombers for 85 yards on 15 carries in Week 13, Hickson should be heavily involved once again.

The Bombers also have a palatable matchup through the air against a Riders defence that yields 278.5 passing yards per game and the second-most completions of 30 yards or more (19).

Last week’s total was on its way to easily being eclipsed before that unusual second half. Bank on each squad’s excellent coaching staffs and personnel making the necessary adjustments for a higher-scoring game in the rematch.

The Pick: Roughriders +7.5 or better and Over 44.5 points or less (+264 or better)

Saturday, September 10: Calgary Stampeders at Edmonton Elks – 8:00 p.m. EDT

The Stampeders found a feisty opponent in the Elks during the teams’ Week 13 clash.

Calgary prevailed by eight points but Edmonton was just a couple of plays away from potentially having made it an even closer battle.

The Elks are now back home, where they have a 13-game losing streak. However, Taylor Cornelius is putting forth some encouraging play at quarterback.

Edmonton may have also found itself a starting tailback in Kevin Brown, who garnered 96 total yards on 11 touches against the Stamps in his Week 13 debut.

The Stamps will have the advantage of not having to face Kenny Lawler (ankle) yet again, as he currently resides on the six-game injured list.

Yet, the Elks kept matters close in Week 13 with the aid of Dillon Mitchell, who served as the leading receiver and gave Cornelius a formidable downfield target against a Calgary defence now surrendering a CFL-high 296.5 passing yards per game.

The Stamps continued to get strong play from Jake Maier under center in Week 13. Ka’Deem Carey is clearly back to full health from his hamstring injury after back-to-back stellar all-around efforts.

Nevertheless, the line is the largest of the week, and the Elks should be walking into this matchup with confidence after last week. As such, I’m backing an Edmonton cover, even if the home losing streak ultimately persists.

The Pick: Elks +9.5 or higher (-115 or better)