CFL Week 12 Predictions | Look for Blue Bombers to bounce back from first loss

Week 12 of the 2022 Canadian Football League begins Thursday night with the defending champion Blue Bombers returning to action after their first loss of the season, which was followed by a Week 11 bye. Fans can ratchet up the excitement for that game and the rest of the Week 12 slate by taking advantage of the wide array of CFL betting options in regulated Ontario sportsbooks.

Below, we’ll take a detailed look at each of the four Week 12 games and suggest a bet to consider for each matchup.

Week 12 CFL betting odds

In addition to the previously alluded to Stampeders-Winnipeg clash that cuts the ribbon on the new week and carries a 5.5-point line as of Tuesday afternoon, the other three contests are projected to be even closer – they carry spreads between three and four points.

Below, we’ll dive into the betting lines for each game and take a stand on one wager to consider at Ontario’s formidable collection of regulated sportsbooks.

Thursday, August 25: Calgary Stampeders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers – 8:30 p.m. ET

The Stampeders enter this game with no shortage of activity on the personnel front. For the time being, there’s a question whether Bo Levi Mitchell, who was pulled for ineffectiveness in the Week 11 win over the Argos, will start over Jake Maier, who helped lead Calgary to the comeback win.

On a more positive note, the Stamps appear set to be healthier at key spots. Ka’Deem Carey, who’s missed the last three games with a hamstring injury, and speedy Malik Henry, who’s sat out the last two with a quadriceps issue, were full participants in Monday’s practice.

The visitors figure to need every offensive weapon they can muster for this matchup. The Blue Bombers are allowing a CFL-low 18.2 points per game, along with the second-fewest yards of net offence (330.7).

This is already the third meeting between the teams this season, with Winnipeg having prevailed by scores of 26-19 and 35-28 in the first two contests. Zach Collaros has particularly enjoyed success against Calgary’s porous pass defence, throwing for a combined 585 yards with six touchdowns and no INTs.

Greg Ellingson missed both Sunday’s and Monday’s practice with a lingering hip injury, but Collaros has already found ways to manage the star veteran’s absence this season. The likes of Dalton Schoen and Drew Wolitarsky have been among those to help pick up the slack.

The ongoing development of running back Brady Oliveira has also been a boon for Winnipeg’s offence, giving the Bombers some much-needed balance. He had his best game of the season against the Stamps in Week 8, rushing for 110 yards on 15 carries.

Although the Stampeders have played the Bombers tough twice already and should be healthier than recent weeks, the Bombers have a huge rest advantage here thanks to the combination of the Week 11 bye and the Stamps having played Saturday night.

While the visitors likely keep this close throughout, I see the champs doing just enough at home to notch a victory of another touchdown or so.

The Pick: Blue Bombers -5.5 (play up to -115)

Friday, August 26: Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Toronto Argonauts – 7:30 p.m. ET

The Tiger-Cats engaged in a wild battle with the Alouettes in Week 11 that they lost in heartbreaking fashion, 29-28. Hamilton has now dropped four games by five points or fewer.

QB Matt Shiltz did a phenomenal job in Dane Evans’ (shoulder) stead with 303 yards and two touchdowns. Evans turned in a limited practice Monday and will likely be listed as questionable going into gameday.

Shiltz has already proven capable of leading the offence effectively, and it appears he’ll get back a solid complementary weapon for Week 12 in Papi White (knee/ankle), who practiced in full Monday.

On the other side, the Argonauts are trying to overcome their own Week 11 disappointment, as they blew a halftime lead to the Stampeders and fell by a 22-19 score.

McLeod Bethel-Thompson performed well in his first full game of Andrew Harris’ rest-of-season absence due to a pectoral injury, and Toronto may have the makings of a revamped ground attack with Javon Leake and A.J. Ouelette.

Hamilton is allowing just 80.2 rushing yards per game at a CFL-low 4.4 yards per carry. Nevertheless, Ouelette is a very effective receiver out of the backfield and has deceptive speed, so Toronto could find success frequently deploying the short pass in place of a conventional handoff.

The teams have split the first two meetings this season – the Argonauts notched a 34-20 win in Toronto in Week 9, while the Tiger-Cats came back with a 34-27 victory at their place in Week 10. Bethel-Thompson played very well in both, throwing for a combined 517 yards and two TDs without an INT.

The Tiger-Cats needed 17 fourth-quarter points to mount a successful comeback in that Week 10 win, and two of the Argos’ three losses at home this season have come by a combined four points.

While this figures to be a competitive affair, I’m going with Toronto’s previous overall head-to-head advantage in this matchup and the homefield setting as enough to generate a close win after back-to-back defeats.

The Pick: Argonauts moneyline (play up to -150)

Friday, August 26: Saskatchewan Roughriders at BC Lions – 10:30 p.m. ET

Much like the Stamps, the Roughriders sat down a proven veteran starter in Week 11 due to poor play. However, the insertion of Mason Fine for Cody Fajardo didn’t result in anything close to a win against the Lions, which still topped Saskatchewan by a 28-10 score despite Nathan Rourke’s early exit for BC.

Riders head coach Craig Dickenson has already announced Fajardo will return to start Week 12, and the prideful vet should certainly have no shortage of motivation. Nevertheless, he’s going to be working with a makeshift offensive roster of sorts.

The bad — versatile and dangerous running back Jamal Morrow suffered a broken hand in Week 11 and is expected to miss Friday’s game, at minimum. Duke Williams has also been announced as unavailable for Week 12 due to a hip sprain.

The hopeful — both Shaq Evans (ankle) and Kyran Moore (knee) were able to practice in full Monday and thus appear headed for active status. While the return of the former from a Week 3 injury and what would be the latter’s season debut certainly holds the potential to make up for Morrow’s and Williams’ absences, Moore particularly could have plenty of rust to work off.

The Lions defence also presents far from an inviting matchup, and the unit will likely be highly focused on helping pick up the slack stemming from what could be a rest-of-season absence for Rourke. BC comes in allowing CFL-low yards per game in both rushing yards (75.1) and passing yards (225.1).

Michael O’Connor will get first crack at the unenviable task of trying to fill Rourke’s shoes, although Antonio Pipkin, who does have experience from his three seasons with the Alouettes and one with the Argonauts, is also on hand and could see plenty of goal-line work.

Offence ground to a halt for both clubs in the second half of the Week 11 matchup. Therefore, the Under was at least a consideration here with the opening total of 48.5 points. However, it’s come down two points since then, and there are still plenty of weapons on BC’s side to help generate a decent point total.

The Pick: Over 46.5 points (play up to -115)

Saturday, August 27: Ottawa Redblacks at Edmonton Elks – 7:00 p.m. EDT

The Redblacks had a bye week to prepare, but they still came up woefully short in a Week 11 loss to Edmonton. Ottawa’s fast start evaporated in the second half, which the Elks enjoyed a 21-0 advantage in.

The momentum may not completely carry over, as Emmanuel Arceneaux (ankle), a key complementary figure in the air attack, was placed on the six-game injured list Tuesday.

Edmonton is also still trying to get by with a makeshift ground attack that’s presently helmed by Ante Milanovic-Litre, a converted fullback who is a solid but unspectacular fit as a lead back.

The Redblacks have question marks on offence as well. Head coach Paul LaPolice is pulling the plug on Caleb Evans’ starting stint for at least a week, giving Nick Arbuckle a turn under center for this matchup.

Arbuckle does have plenty of experience, having posted 4,615 yards and 19 touchdowns over 51 career CFL games, along with 188 rushing yards and another 11 scores on the ground. However, the Georgia State alum has also thrown 21 career interceptions.

Ottawa also remains without William Powell (knee), who resides on the six-game injured list. The duo of Devonte Williams and Jackson Bennett did next to nothing in his stead in Week 11 despite the Elks’ league-worst rush defence — they totaled 17 yards on nine carries.

Neither one of these offences as presently constituted is likely to truly light up the scoreboard, and last week’s matchup finished with a total of 42 points. While a bit of a resurgence for Ottawa’s air attack is certainly possible under Arbuckle, I still see the Under as viable here.

The Pick: Under 48.5 points (play up to -115)