Week 10 CFL predictions | Look for Bombers, Lions to keep winning

CFL Week 10 picks

We’ve hit the halfway point of what is already a 2022 Canadian Football League season to remember. The on-field action has been exciting and regulated Ontario sportsbooks offer plenty of betting markets and promotions to take advantage of every week.

Below, we’ll do a preview of each game this week and make out Week 10 CFL betting picks.

Week 10 CFL betting odds

For more betting information, check out the following:

Thursday, August 11: Montreal Alouettes at Winnipeg Blue Bombers – 8:30 p.m. EDT

The Alouettes lost yet another game in which they played competitively in Week 9, and despite the 15-point margin of defeat to the Blue Bombers, the game was notably tied going into the fourth quarter before Montreal was outscored, 21-6, in the final 15 minutes.

Montreal’s point differential on the season is -17, which, while not ideal by any stretch, isn’t what’s typical of a 2-6 team, either. However, Montreal is likely in for even more of an uphill battle in this road rematch against a team gunning to remain undefeated.

The Als have the key battery of Trevor Harris and Eugene Lewis at less than full health in this spot. Harris was downgraded to limited participation for Tuesday’s final practice of the week due to his nagging back injury, while Lewis was limited in all three sessions due to a sore hip.

Considering Harris threw for just 127 yards and was picked off twice in the Week 9 loss, this is particularly foreboding news with respect to Montreal’s offensive prospects, even if both players suit up, as is likely.

The Bombers’ defence has allowed just 16.0 points per home game as well while recording five sacks, four interceptions, a fumble recovery, and a defensive touchdown there as well, making the Under a solid play here while backing the idea the Als will have trouble contributing their share of scoring.

The Pick: Under 48.5 points (play up to -115)

Friday, August 12: Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger-Cats – 7:30 p.m. EDT

The Tiger-Cats are another 2-6 team that is headed for a potentially trying Week 10. Unlike the Als’ Harris, who’s projected to play in his team’s game, Hamilton has designated Dane Evans as doubtful due to a shoulder injury.

That alone would deal a significant blow to the Ti-Cats’ prospects, considering Evans, despite his turnover-prone ways, has thrown for 297 yards or more in three of the past four games. However, Hamilton will have to make do without Bralon Addision (Achilles), Tyler Ternowski (shoulder), Anthony Johnson (hand), and Papi White (back/knee).

That trio of absences plus the expected one from Evans naturally puts a serious dent in the Ti-Cats air attack and will lead to likely starter Matthew Shiltz working at a significant disadvantage against an Argonauts defence that’s been vulnerable against the pass at times.

A likely inconsistent offence will also heap pressure on Hamilton’s typically strong defence, one that’s yielded the second-fewest yards of net offence (323.9) per game and second-lowest yards per play (5.8).

Toronto’s McLeod Bethel-Thompson has shown some solid veteran savvy and leadership in recent games, and he already has a trio of 300-yard efforts for the season. Bethel-Thompson also has cut down on the turnovers of late and boasts a 4:1 TD-to-INT ratio in the last three contests.

The Argos are 4-3 overall against the spread and definitely will have better health in this spot, making them the easy pick as a road dog.

The Pick: Argonauts +1 (play up to +105)

Saturday, August 13: BC Lions at Calgary Stampeders – 7:00 p.m. EDT

This is hands-down the most interesting line of the week. Oddsmakers clearly see the Lions as a team that’s highly capable of manhandling what might be the worst team in the league yet nowhere near as strong against fellow contenders, and they’re also seemingly putting plenty of faith in the Stamps’ home-field edge.

Nathan Rourke was unsurprisingly the talk of the league all week after eviscerating the Elks for the second time this season and setting new career-high marks across the board.

The fact he got back trusted veteran Bryan Burnham and he immediately responded with a 6-82-1 line seems almost unfair and makes the prospect of facing BC’s offense all the more daunting.

On paper, this matchup actually bodes well for Rourke and company despite the road setting. Calgary has allowed 28.3 points and 356.7 total yards of offence per home game.

Rourke has been at his best at home but certainly no slouch in his two road contests to date, completing 78.1 percent of his throws, rushing for 107 yards on 13 carries and scoring six total TDs.

The Stamps aren’t certain to have Ka’Deem Carey (hamstring) back in action after he missed Tuesday’s practice and was a limited participant Wednesday. However, backup Dedrick Mills put on an excellent Carey impression with 132 total yards and should be a capable fill-in again if called upon.

While this might very well be a close game – the Lions’ average margin of victory in their two road contests is a modest 9.0 points – a cover here is absolutely in play for a team that simply has more firepower offensively and also plays rock-solid defence most weeks.

The Pick: Lions -1 (play up to -115)

Saturday, August 13: Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Elks– 10:00 p.m. EDT

The Roughriders, by the admission of no less than Cody Fajardo, are a frustrated bunch after having entered their Week 9 bye with three consecutive losses. Nevertheless, the week off may have done plenty to clear their collective heads, and just as important, give Fajardo’s balky knee some rest.

The Riders also couldn’t ask for a better potential bounce-back matchup than this one, considering the Elks are likely to be reeling after their second straight lopsided loss to the Lions this season.

One of the Elks’ biggest weakness is stopping the run (CFL-high 123.1 rushing yards per game allowed), and that could be exploited here by speedy Jamal Morrow, who’s also highly capable of causing plenty of damage in space as a receiver.

Edmonton has some solid veteran receivers such as Derel Walker, Kenny Lawler, and Emmanuel Arceneaux, but without James Wilder (IR-shoulder), there’s little ground game to speak of.

That’s to the detriment of inexperienced quarterback Taylor Cornelius, who now has to face a Riders defence that’s racked up a CFL-high 28 sacks and 26 turnovers.

On the other side, Saskatchewan could get back key defensive lineman Pete Robertson, who already has seven sacks and three forced fumbles in five games.

Kyran Moore has been out since last season with a knee injury, and it’s possible he makes it into this game in a limited fashion at least. If he does get onto the field, it will be against an Elks defence allowing 282.4 passing yards per game and a league-high 76.8 percent completion rate.

The line here is a manageable one for Saskatchewan to cover in the process of snapping its losing streak.

The Pick: Roughriders -5.5 (play up to -115)