Hope you didn’t put your mortgage down on my locks last week, as we more-or-less broke even for a team total of 85.7 points, which was good for middle of the pack in my league.
(Still salty a player who stacked the entire Riders offence and D was able to win the week – DeVone Claybrooks wyd with that Lions defence?)
Reggie Begelton came back to earth as Juwan Brescacin stole his thunder sneaking in for two touchdowns, Nick Arbuckle was just average against an improved Argos front while William Powell and Quan Bray didn’t quite pop as I’d hoped.
But fear not, my Week 7 picks are here, and we eat well this weekend my friends.
Here are my PLAYS and FADES:
PLAY – Nick Arbuckle ($6,798) vs. OTT
I thought long and hard about spending on Jeremiah Masoli ($11,126) at home in what is a statement game against Winnipeg, but with how strong the Blue Bombers defence is, I expect points to be at a premium and decided to stick with my guy Arbuckle.
While held in check against Toronto as mentioned above, there’s no better team to rebound against at the moment than the Redblacks. Ottawa has given up less than 30 points in just two of their five games so far (they gave up 28 and 29 in the other two), and have been vulnerable as the now Jon Jennings offence has sputtered leading to them having to stay on the field for long stretches.
FADE – Cody Fajardo ($6,815)
Fajardo has run as hot and cold as anyone in his time as the Riders starting pivot this year, following up, and being in the back end of a home-and-home with B.C. I think the Lions defence could potentially have some things figured out and keep him to a relatively quiet night.
PLAY – Ka’Deem Carey ($5,500)
Different route in the backfield for me this week as we hit on some value guys, starting with Carey. After 16 total touches for 95 yards against a stout Tiger-Cat defence, he’s firmly established himself as the lead back in Calgary during Don Jackson’s absence. Carey should be in for his first monster effort against the Ottawa defence which has given up the most points in the ground game to running backs this year.
PLAY – Maleek Irons ($4,000)
Irons did me in last week as he rendered Anthony Coombs pretty much invisible accounting for all but five carries in Hamilton’s run game. The former Ohio University Bobcat went for a game-high 61 yards on 14 carries while also adding three catches and you can’t get better value for a legitimate starter at just 4K. Winnipeg’s defence is stout, but if the Cats get a goal line look or two I’d expect Irons to be the guy to punch one in.
With both C.J. Gable and James Wilder Jr. out for their matchup on Thursday night as well, dart throw plays on the Eskimos Shaq Cooper ($4,500) or the Argos Brandon Burks ($2,981) provide great value as well.
FADE – Andrew Harris ($10,013)
Harris crossed the 10K threshold this week, and while he could (and probably will) go onto have another big outing on Friday night, it’s just too hefty a price tag for a Winnipeg game plan I expect to have an emphasis on spreading the ball around and targeting Hamilton’s DB’s in space.
PLAY – Greg Ellingson ($8,625)
Boasting the best and deepest receiving corps in the league, picking an Eskimos receiver in a given week is basically the Russian Roulette of fantasy.
This week though, all signs point to an explosion for Ellingson, as he’s coming off his worst outing of the year after just three catches for sub-30 yards in Montreal and should get to go to work in the slot and eat against the Argos halfbacks and safeties.
PLAY – Bralon Addison ($5,500)
While Brandon Banks has gotten all the headlines during his ridiculous start to this season, Addison has quietly been a monster as well in a secondary role.
He had two huge outings of a combined 228 yards on 14 catches against Montreal and Toronto before going on the one-game injured list and quietly thrived as a safety blanket for Masoli in the slugfest against the Stamps catching seven balls in his return to action.
With Luke Tasker still MIA from the Ticats offence, I expect Addison to be the X-factor and have another strong game.
FADE – SJ Green ($6,633) & Derel Walker ($7,827)
While the targets and receptions have continued a slow and steady climb, facing the Eskimos top ranked pass defence this week could throw a wrench into the trend.
Even though the Argos will likely be trailing and need to be throwing the ball a ton to try and stay in the game, their passing game is just too volatile and turnover prone at the moment to play any of the receivers.
We’re gonna hope to get lucky on my Flex play this week as Blue Bombers playmaker Lucky Whitehead is the move at just $3,945.
We saw the special teams madness at Tim Hortons Field in Week 5, and I’m expecting more this week as Whitehead is a solid bet to potentially take one to the house in the return game. He should contribute in the passing and running game as well. (He’d also be the perfect guy to help execute the Winnipeg Special, if they have trickery up their sleeve)
This week’s selection to play a Defence was easy-peasy as the Stamps get to feast on a Jon Jennings-led Ottawa unit that wasn’t able to generate any points themselves last week at IG Field.
With Dom Davis unlikely to play and Jennings trotting out there again, I expect more of the same.