Week 5 picks: Back-to-back familiarity breeds contempt

Back-to-back rematches are on the menu for five of the six teams playing in Week 5.

Calgary comes back from a break to face the same opponent (Ottawa) the Stamps beat heading into their off week. James Franklin returns to Edmonton after leading a game-winning touchdown drive against his former team in Toronto and Winnipeg tries for the double on the Left coast. The Stampeders, Argos and Bombers are all looking for home-and-home sweeps on the road.

Teams on bye weeks: Hamilton, Montreal, Saskatchewan

Thursday, July 12
Calgary at Ottawa, 7:30 p.m.

Calgary (3-0) returns from the bye Thursday night in Ottawa against the Redblacks (2-1) in a matchup of division leaders. The Stampeders are 16-0 coming off the bye since 2005, their last loss following a bye week coming July 1, 2005, when they hadn’t yet played a game that season. Calgary has outscored its opponents 567-346 over that span, winning by an average of 13.8 points. The Stampeders’ last in-season post-bye loss was in July 2004 at Montreal. Ottawa returns to TD Place for the first time since winning its home/season opener 40-17 over the Saskatchewan Roughriders on June 21. But Calgary has a 10-0 road record over its post-bye win streak.

Dunk: Stamps+bye+win. STAMPS
Edwards: Calgary coming off a bye is money in the bank. STAMPS
Gasson: I wanted to be the tie guy, but Santino beat me to it. STAMPS
Hodge: Not picking against Calgary coming off the bye. STAMPS
Ballantine: Last two games at TD place were ties, but Stamps after a bye week are nearly unbeatable. STAMPS
Filoso: I’ll go out on a limb and pick the result nobody wants to see. TIE
Smith: Calgary doesn’t lose after a bye. STAMPS

Friday, July 13
Toronto at Edmonton, 9 p.m.

At Edmonton, James Franklin looks to give Toronto (1-2) a sweep of the home-and-home series after leading the Argos to last weekend’s 20-17 win. Franklin threw for 217 yards and a TD and ran for another in his Argos debut but it was James Wilder (21 carries, 120 yards, TD) who helped anchor the win. Mike Reilly had 370 yards passing and a touchdown for the Eskimos (2-2) but fell to 2-6 all-time versus the Double Blue. Coming off a 165-yard rushing performance, C.J. Gable ran for just 39 yards at BMO Field.

Dunk: The teacher gets the final say. ESKS
Edwards: I just can’t see Edmonton losing two straight to Toronto. ESKS
Gasson: I’m expecting a good one but home cooking does Edmonton good. ESKS
Hodge: Toronto can’t beat Edmonton back-to-back… right? ESKS
Ballantine: Last week, the apprentice destroyed the master, this week the Empire Strikes Back. ESKS
Filoso: Winning at home off a bye is one thing, in enemy territory is another. ESKS
Smith: Hard to beat a team in back-to-back weeks. ESKS
Totals: ESKS 7 ARGOS 0

Saturday, July 14
Winnipeg at British Columbia, 10 p.m.

At Vancouver, Matt Nichols looks to lead Winnipeg (2-2) to the home-and-home sweep. Nichols threw for 162 yards and a TD in last week’s 41-19 win, his 2018 debut coming off a knee injury. But he got help from running back Andrew Harris (109 yards rushing) and former Lions linebacker Adam Bighill( six tackles, two interceptions, one 55-yard TD return). It’s unclear if Jonathon Jennings or veteran Travis Lulay will start for B.C. (1-2). Lulay, 34, is coming off major knee surgery. Jennings hasn’t thrown for over 200 yards this season and was 15-for-24 passing for 105 yards last week.

Dunk: If Travis Lulay plays B.C. has a shot. BOMBERS
Edwards: The Lions are officially awful until proven otherwise. BOMBERS
Gasson: History repeats itself. BOMBERS
Hodge: Bighill’s Revenge 2 proves itself a worthy sequel. BOMBERS
Ballantine: Yikes! This game won’t be pretty. Nichols drops dimes as Lions lack bite. BOMBERS
Filoso: Same teams, same result. BOMBERS
Smith: Until the Lions prove they aren’t bad you can’t pick them. BOMBERS

2018 Records:
Edwards: 12-4
Smith: 11-5
Dunk: 11-5
Filoso: 10-6
Ballantine: 10-6
Gasson: 9-7
Hodge: 9-7


35 Comments on Week 5 picks: Back-to-back familiarity breeds contempt

  1. Blackhawk89 // July 12, 2018 at 11:26 am //

    Back to back games suck spread it out.

    • Leo Lewis // July 12, 2018 at 12:35 pm //

      I agree completely. There is no need to play back to back games, including the Labour Day rematches. The Labour Day rematches should be played on the Thanksgiving weekend to create a second long weekend tradition.

    • BC Bomber // July 12, 2018 at 6:16 pm //

      I like the b-2-b games. Builds rivalry, creates intensity for players seeking to settle the score, requires coaches to get more creative, good vibe for fans. imo

      • MR. Green // July 12, 2018 at 7:36 pm //

        Yep. Back to back games have good story lines, are more heated and ramp up the rivalries.

  2. Stampeding // July 12, 2018 at 11:52 am //

    The Ottawa faithful are treated to a visit from the worlds best football team. Their home town heros will put up a good fight, but the injury ridden mighty reds prove to be too much
    Stamps by 5

    Edmonton by 8
    Winnipeg by 15

  3. It seems that all of the columnists are reading each others’ notes if they are all picking the same winners (7-0) for all 3 contests especially considering the number of upsets we have had this year. I think Ottawa could well upset Calgary as they have not looked quite as strong this year and Edmonton has not looked as strong as projected. If Travis Lulay was able to play, BC may have a chance to upset Winnipeg at home as well.

  4. Hard to argue with everyone picking Stamps. They play on another level and Redblacks are no match, bi-week or otherwise. The score two weeks ago flattered the Redblacks. Calgary by 40.

    Overrated Esks squeeze out a win by a field goal.
    Lions are done and so is Wally. Peg by 28.

    • brian johnson // July 12, 2018 at 5:39 pm //

      Ottawa wins confidence level 90%
      Edmonton wins 100%
      BC wins easy 98%

      Now you have time to change your bet to actually make some cash. Cheers

  5. “They have to play the games.”

  6. True Green // July 12, 2018 at 12:50 pm //

    What a boring set of predictions. No one goes out on a limb?
    Let try this:

    Stampeders: not Canada’s team. Not the worlds team. In the eye of a few hundred thousand, possibly Calgary’s team.

    • Ottawa by 10
      Edmonton by 15
      Bombers by 17

      Cramps – Barely Calgarys team.
      Manyhandles – In his own world.
      Cramps – The house of thuggery

      • True Green // July 12, 2018 at 2:15 pm //

        I like it Yup, I’d love to see the Stamps lose this one everyone in the west needs that to happen!

        • Yes it is without, the preference of the 4 other western teams for Calgary to lose. Otherwise we are starting to pull away yet again.
          Unfortunately for you, it is inevitable

  7. Stampeding // July 12, 2018 at 1:52 pm //

    I never said the were Canada’s team or the world’s team.
    There is no such thing as the world’s team and in order to be Canada’s team you would have to have a maple leaf logo on you. The Stamps, nor the riders have that.

  8. Paul Bomber // July 12, 2018 at 2:12 pm //

    Can’t see BC playing that bad again, and Lulay is capable of giving his boys a huge lift. Still going to side w/the Bombers… but it ain’t gonna be another 22 point beat-down!! Don’t think O’Shea will let the boys put their guard down… I hope.
    Something about Calgary this year… they belong @ #1 in the rankings, same as last year… but there seems to be a little vulnerability… call it parity. Smart money on the Horses, but something is scratching on the back of my brain saying Ottawa.
    Franklin’s physical ability makes up for a lot, so a little surprised no one is picking T.O.
    Hell… all three of these games could be upsets (there, I’ve covered all the bets)

  9. BlueBomberChris // July 12, 2018 at 5:39 pm //

    Ottawa pulls it out tonight. They played them tight last time and if not for the bizzare decision to go for it on 3rd down vs. taking the FG and tie really screwed Ottawa. Since they’re at home I like them to pull out a squeaker

    Esks (Alberta’s team :p) get their revenge for last week (provided Maas isn’t making any decisions in a tight game late 😉 lol) and take it to the Argos handily

    Bombers keep it going and win, although it will be a much closer game this time around and I suspect it’ll be late 3rd/4th quarter before Manitoba’s team (see what I did there) pulls away.

  10. The Calgary Stampeders are NATO’s team

  11. Whoever makes the schedule needs there brains adjusted because the schedule is a joke. What happened to home, then away week after week?

  12. MR. Green // July 12, 2018 at 7:41 pm //

    These writers who pick should also have thier overall record posted. No one here ever picks upsets among them. No guts, no glory.

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